According to Nielsen’s Gracenote’s latest Virtual Medal Table (VMT), Team Ireland is expected to secure two gold medals, two silver medals, and five bronze medals at this year’s Summer Games. With these nine predicted medals, Ireland is projected to rank among the top 30 countries, tying with Iran, Croatia, and Romania.

The United States leads the predictions with 123 medals, followed by China (87), Great Britain (62), France (56), and Australia (48).

The Gracenote VMT uses a statistical model based on past individual and team performances in the Olympic Games, World Championships, and World Cups to predict the most likely medal winners.

If Ireland wins the predicted nine medals, it would be the country’s highest medal count at a single Olympics. The current record is six medals, achieved at the 2012 Summer Olympics in London, where Ireland won one gold, one silver, and four bronze medals.

Ireland’s highest gold medal count at a single Olympics is three, achieved at the 1996 Summer Olympics in Atlanta by swimmer Michelle Smith.

Ireland last won gold medals at the 2020 Games (held in 2021 due to the pandemic), with Paul O’Donovan and Fintan McCarthy winning the men’s lightweight double sculls in rowing and Kellie Harrington winning the women’s lightweight boxing. In total, Ireland has won 35 Olympic medals—11 gold, 10 silver, and 14 bronze—all in Summer Olympics events. Ireland has not medalled at the Winter Olympics.

The 2024 Games also mark 100 years of Ireland competing in the Summer Olympics.

Team Ireland continues to announce its athletes for the Games. As of Wednesday evening, selections have been confirmed for the men’s hockey team, rowers, sailing team, rugby sevens, taekwondo, gymnastics, and badminton. Golfers Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry have also officially qualified.